Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 115.843209 128.259880 141.049695 155.180667 170.327881 186.049778 203.573950
2024-10-13 96.760176 115.196493 135.170009 158.296606 184.214104 212.243868 244.727438
2024-10-20 79.335078 101.421626 126.540820 156.921906 192.363343 232.099103 279.704710
2024-10-27 66.063320 90.485144 119.572989 156.196209 200.481980 251.718899 314.868067
2024-11-03 58.357072 85.077796 118.237755 161.462868 215.337975 279.304993 359.971390
2024-11-10 51.383002 79.593520 116.003182 165.023733 227.829521 304.145899 402.343840
2024-11-17 45.886104 75.279659 114.628944 169.188429 240.829412 329.665041 445.978469
2024-11-24 41.610615 72.060877 114.231751 174.285482 254.886703 356.628750 491.866335
2024-12-01 34.613393 64.013808 106.415035 168.708083 254.439030 364.853004 514.107656
2024-12-08 29.618524 58.310961 101.289681 166.253354 257.691875 377.563344 541.996181
2024-12-15 26.351859 54.898946 99.126735 167.655352 265.985881 396.838421 578.549329
2024-12-22 23.849768 52.415469 98.083796 170.463474 276.133593 418.639666 618.684248
2024-12-29 22.326264 51.512064 99.503925 177.097219 292.096892 448.973632 671.233315
2025-01-05 20.367937 49.590858 99.141878 180.986025 304.233776 474.395719 717.804388
2025-01-12 17.670870 45.919174 95.600796 179.733683 308.773331 489.388823 750.570471
2025-01-19 15.416434 42.760670 92.612262 179.086329 314.045758 505.391461 784.899848
2025-01-26 14.433573 42.046442 93.744336 185.001326 329.216330 535.563154 839.143966
2025-02-02 13.264260 40.761975 93.736500 188.991614 341.507108 561.813555 888.330583
2025-02-09 12.298869 39.776189 94.154830 193.625138 354.812733 589.668740 940.081306
2025-02-16 11.543641 39.159268 95.183416 199.272178 369.775353 620.132503 995.897340
2025-02-23 9.527995 35.173154 89.490184 193.124953 366.002807 623.146933 1012.921194
2025-03-02 8.133215 32.438895 85.940198 190.419222 367.462064 633.720493 1040.694336
2025-03-09 7.294957 31.009799 84.858831 191.972267 375.723509 654.446987 1083.228881